Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 12, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 12

MLB Home Run Props
July 12, 2026

Data as of 11:31 ET, Jul 12 · 14 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 12, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 22.3% model home run probability, facing Tarik Skubal (3.06 ERA) at Comerica Park.

See Today's Live Board → Jump to All 14 Picks
#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Kyle Schwarber
 22.3% Tarik Skubal LHP3.06 ERA Comerica Park 9.8% 53.7% 93.5
2
Jordan Walker
 19.7% Danny Young LHP2.70 ERA Busch Stadium 9.5% 51.7% 94.2
3
Kody Clemens
 18.3% José Soriano RHP3.40 ERA Target Field 8.8% 46.1% 92.6
4
Juan Soto
 18.1% Payton Tolle LHP3.14 ERA Citi Field 10.3% 48.7% 92.8
5
Elly De La Cruz
 17.6% Matthew Boyd LHP4.31 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.3% 52.5% 94.6
6
Miguel Vargas
 17.5% J.T. Ginn RHP3.10 ERA Rate Field 10.6% 46.7% 90.5
7
Matt Olson
 16.8% Dustin May RHP4.55 ERA Busch Stadium 9.2% 52% 92.9
8
Ben Rice
 16.8% Cade Cavalli RHP3.88 ERA Nationals Park 9.6% 47.2% 92.1
9
Rafael Devers
 16.8% Michael Lorenzen RHP6.46 ERA Oracle Park 7.2% 50.2% 92.1
10
Junior Caminero
 16.1% Emerson Hancock RHP3.23 ERA Tropicana Field 9.3% 51.8% 93.2
11
Bryce Eldridge
 15.1% Michael Lorenzen RHP6.46 ERA Oracle Park 8% 54.1% 92.2
12
Alec Burleson
 14.1% Danny Young LHP2.70 ERA Busch Stadium 8.6% 48.5% 91.7
13
Wilyer Abreu
 12.9% Zach Thornton LHP4.35 ERA Citi Field 8.3% 41.8% 90.1
14
Jake Bauers
 12.7% Paul Skenes RHP3.58 ERA PNC Park 8.2% 52.9% 92.5

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 12, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

BetLogic Daily

Tomorrow's HR Board.
In your inbox by 6am.

The top power hitters with the strongest home run edge (ballpark, matchup, and barrel rate) delivered every morning at 6am ET before first pitch. Free. No spam. Unsubscribe in one click.

By subscribing you agree these picks are model output, not advice.

How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 12, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 12, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 12, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 22.3% model home run probability, facing Tarik Skubal (3.06 ERA) at Comerica Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

More Today

Live Home Run board · Strikeout props · Hot Hitters · Full slate breakdown