Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 12, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 12

MLB Home Run Props
July 12, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 12 · 14 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 12, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 22.2% model home run probability, facing Tarik Skubal (3.06 ERA) at Comerica Park.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Kyle Schwarber
 22.2% Tarik Skubal LHP3.06 ERA Comerica Park 9.6% 53.5% 93.5
2
Alec Burleson
 19.7% JR Ritchie RHP4.60 ERA Busch Stadium 8.2% 48.1% 91.5
3
Kody Clemens
 18.3% José Soriano RHP3.40 ERA Target Field 9% 46.3% 92.7
4
Juan Soto
 18.2% Payton Tolle LHP3.14 ERA Citi Field 10.4% 48.5% 92.8
5
Miguel Vargas
 17.6% J.T. Ginn RHP3.10 ERA Rate Field 10.7% 46.7% 90.5
6
Elly De La Cruz
 17.5% Matthew Boyd LHP4.31 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.1% 52.2% 94.5
7
Rafael Devers
 16.9% Michael Lorenzen RHP6.46 ERA Oracle Park 7.3% 50.4% 92.1
8
Matt Olson
 16.8% Dustin May RHP4.55 ERA Busch Stadium 9.3% 51.9% 92.9
9
Ben Rice
 16.8% Cade Cavalli RHP3.88 ERA Nationals Park 9.7% 47.1% 92
10
Junior Caminero
 16.1% Emerson Hancock RHP3.23 ERA Tropicana Field 9.2% 51.6% 93.2
11
Kyle Stowers
 15.9% Joey Cantillo LHP3.66 ERA loanDepot park 7% 54.7% 91.8
12
Jordan Walker
 15.8% JR Ritchie RHP4.60 ERA Busch Stadium 9.5% 52% 94.2
13
Bryce Eldridge
 15% Michael Lorenzen RHP6.46 ERA Oracle Park 8.1% 54.5% 92.2
14
Max Kepler
 13.7% Emmet Sheehan RHP4.91 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 9.1% 47.8% 89.1

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 12, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 12, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 12, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 12, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 22.2% model home run probability, facing Tarik Skubal (3.06 ERA) at Comerica Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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