Home Runs
BetLogic's HR Sheet ranks today's top MLB home run candidates by a composite edge score. The leaderboard updates daily before first pitch and combines recent power output, opposing pitcher matchup, and ballpark conditions to surface the highest-edge plays.
| # | Player | P(HR) | HR | ISO | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Caminero TB | 18% | 42 | .248 | Logan Henderson, American Family Field |
| 2 | Victor Mesa Jr. TB | 16% | 14 | .238 | Logan Henderson, American Family Field |
| 3 | Jonathan Aranda TB | 16% | 22 | .160 | Logan Henderson, American Family Field |
| 4 | Jake Bauers MIL | 16% | 26 | .218 | Drew Rasmussen, American Family Field |
| 5 | Jackson Chourio MIL | 15% | 25 | .196 | Drew Rasmussen, American Family Field |
Today's top MLB home run props: Junior Caminero (TB, 18%), Victor Mesa Jr. (TB, 16%) and Jonathan Aranda (TB, 16%) lead the model's board, updated 5:04 AM ET. The full ranked board above refreshes until first pitch. Every pick is graded on the Results page, and the method is documented in the guides.
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About This Sheet
BetLogic's HR Sheet identifies today's strongest home run plays using a proprietary model that weighs recent power output, opposing pitcher quality, ballpark conditions, and historical matchup data. Updated daily before first pitch.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which MLB players have the best home run picks today?
BetLogic's HR Sheet ranks today's top MLB home run candidates by a composite edge score. The leaderboard updates daily before first pitch and combines recent power output, opposing pitcher matchup, and ballpark conditions to surface the highest-edge plays.
How does BetLogic pick MLB home run props?
BetLogic uses a proprietary daily model that blends a hitter's recent slugging performance and barrel rate with the opposing pitcher's home run rate by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor. Higher edge scores indicate stronger alignment across all signals.
Are BetLogic's MLB home run picks free?
Most BetLogic tools are free, and the HR Sheet's full ranked leaderboard publishes every day before first pitch at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.