Home Runs
BetLogic's HR Sheet ranks today's top MLB home run candidates by a composite edge score. The leaderboard updates daily before first pitch and combines recent power output, opposing pitcher matchup, and ballpark conditions to surface the highest-edge plays.
| # | Player | P(HR) | HR | ISO | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Caminero TB | 22% | 35 | .277 | Jack Perkins, Sutter Health Park |
| 2 | Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL | 22% | 4 | .254 | Zebby Matthews, Target Field |
| 3 | Jac Caglianone KC | 19% | 21 | .219 | Eric Lauer, UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium |
| 4 | Kyle Schwarber PHI | 19% | 35 | .286 | Kyle Leahy, Busch Stadium |
| 5 | Carter Jensen KC | 18% | 16 | .188 | Eric Lauer, UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium |
Today's top MLB home run props: Junior Caminero (TB, 22%), Christian Encarnacion-Strand (BAL, 22%) and Jac Caglianone (KC, 19%) lead the model's board, updated 5:05 AM ET. The full ranked board above refreshes until first pitch. Every pick is graded on the Results page, and the method is documented in the guides.
Tomorrow's HR Sheet.
In your inbox by 6am.
The top power hitters with the strongest home run edge tomorrow (ballpark, matchup, and barrel rate) delivered every morning at 6am ET before first pitch. Free. No spam. Unsubscribe in one click.
By subscribing you agree these picks are model output, not advice.
About This Sheet
BetLogic's HR Sheet identifies today's strongest home run plays using a proprietary model that weighs recent power output, opposing pitcher quality, ballpark conditions, and historical matchup data. Updated daily before first pitch.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which MLB players have the best home run picks today?
BetLogic's HR Sheet ranks today's top MLB home run candidates by a composite edge score. The leaderboard updates daily before first pitch and combines recent power output, opposing pitcher matchup, and ballpark conditions to surface the highest-edge plays.
How does BetLogic pick MLB home run props?
BetLogic uses a proprietary daily model that blends a hitter's recent slugging performance and barrel rate with the opposing pitcher's home run rate by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor. Higher edge scores indicate stronger alignment across all signals.
Are BetLogic's MLB home run picks free?
Most BetLogic tools are free, and the HR Sheet's full ranked leaderboard publishes every day before first pitch at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.