+EV Bets
How the number is built
Player props (NBA, NHL, NFL). Every book's Over and Under at the posted line comes out to a fair chance with the vig removed. The fair number a book is judged against is the median of the other books. A row needs at least three books posting both sides, and it opens at +2% EV or better: in our own records a price only slightly off the market did not beat the closing line, while a clear gap did. These are the same prices our boards already use, refreshed through the day.
This screen carries no model input. It asks one question: is any sportsbook pricing a bet better than where the rest of the market has it. Exchanges count toward the fair number but are never the bet. Every pick at +2% or better is tracked at the price shown and graded on the result and against the closing line, and the record sits at the top of the page.
Where a book posts both the Yes and the No side, the vig comes out exactly and that book's fair probability is known. The fair number a book is measured against is the median of the other books, never a pool it sits in, so a book's own outlier price cannot inflate the edge it appears to offer. Where nobody posts a No side, the fair number is estimated from the day's measured hold and the row is marked EST.
Green marks the best price in a row, nothing more. EV is per unit staked, and a book priced fairly reads slightly negative because the hold is real. LONE BOOK means only that one book is near the best price, which is usually a stale line rather than an edge you can get down.
Prices are tappable on FanDuel, DraftKings, Caesars and BetMGM. Other books show the number only, until their deep links are confirmed to land on the right slip.
Moneyline and Total are the trustworthy boards. Both are two-way markets, so both sides are always posted and the vig comes out exactly. Every row on them is an exact de-vig with nothing assumed. Anytime HR is one-sided at most books, which is why so many of its rows read EST, and why a long price there deserves more suspicion than the number alone suggests.
The board opens filtered: best-price EV of +1% or better, and a field that agrees with itself. That second rule is the important one, and it is not the obvious one. Counting how many books match the best price does not work, because one book beating the field IS what value looks like. What separates a real edge from noise is how much the other books disagree with each other. A tight field with one price off it is a stale line you can beat. A field spread across +615 to +1300 has no consensus at all, so any EV computed against it is arithmetic on noise. Rows wider than 1.25x are dropped.
The counter above always shows how many plays were filtered out, and Show all lifts the row cap.
The table opens on the four books you can bet in one tap. Every number on it is still computed against the full ten-book consensus, so hiding a column changes what you see and never what the maths says.
On Total, books do not all hang the same number. Only books posting the consensus line are compared, because a price on 8.5 and a price on 9 are different bets and putting them in one column would invent an edge that is not there.