BetLogic AI · NFL
1st Quarter
Who gets the ball early. A 1Q Play has cleared the rung in 7 of his last 10 and 65% of games since 2025, against a defense that gives up a lot early (receptions: 8 of 10 and 75%). Books post these ladders but our odds feed does not, so we show our number and its fair price: take it when your book pays more.
Rush Yds0
Rec Yds0
Receptions0
All
RB
WR
TE
| Player | Matchup | Rung | 1Q, Last 10 | Ladder | Since 2025 | Early Role | Opponent, 1Q | Our Number | Call |
|---|
Our number is how often plays like this have hit in every 2025 and 2026 game, grouped by rung, by his last 10 and since 2025 record, and by the defense. Hot streaks add little once a player is in the group, so his own 9 of 10 is already counted rather than added on top. Fair price is what that rate is worth: a 73% number is fair at -270, so -220 at your book is value and -350 is not. 1Q Plays are recorded at kickoff and graded on Results. 21+.
NFL 1st Quarter · Daily
This Week's 1st Quarter Picks.
In your inbox by 6am.
Who gets the ball early, rung by rung, every morning at 6am ET. Free. No spam. Unsubscribe in one click.
By subscribing you agree to receive one daily email, and confirm you are 21 or older. These picks are model output, not advice. We send a confirmation link first. Unsubscribe anytime. Privacy