Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 9, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 9

MLB Home Run Props
July 9, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 9 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 9, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 28.2% model home run probability, facing Brady Singer (5.03 ERA) at Great American Ball Park.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Kyle Schwarber
 28.2% Brady Singer RHP5.03 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.7% 54.1% 93.6
2
Bryce Harper
 22.9% Brady Singer RHP5.03 ERA Great American Ball Park 7.8% 46.8% 90.3
3
Matt Olson
 20.8% Mitch Keller RHP5.02 ERA PNC Park 9.4% 51.9% 92.9
4
Ketel Marte
 20.3% Griffin Canning RHP6.71 ERA Petco Park 8.9% 46.3% 91.7
5
Brandon Marsh
 19.8% Brady Singer RHP5.03 ERA Great American Ball Park 6.7% 45.7% 89.7
6
Manny Machado
 19.6% Merrill Kelly RHP5.71 ERA Petco Park 7% 43.3% 90
7
Corbin Carroll
 19.5% Griffin Canning RHP6.71 ERA Petco Park 7.4% 46.7% 91.5
8
Kody Clemens
 19.3% Gavin Williams RHP3.89 ERA Target Field 9.4% 46.5% 92.7
9
Dillon Dingler
 18.9% Jack Perkins RHP6.75 ERA Comerica Park 8.2% 48% 90.1
10
Drake Baldwin
 18.9% Mitch Keller RHP5.02 ERA PNC Park 10.1% 50% 91.3
11
Esmerlyn Valdez
 18.3% Bryce Elder RHP4.01 ERA PNC Park 14.5% 47.8% 90.3
12
Willson Contreras
 18.2% Anthony Kay LHP4.29 ERA Rate Field 8.6% 46.2% 90.5
13
Bryson Stott
 18.1% Brady Singer RHP5.03 ERA Great American Ball Park 5.1% 38.7% 89
14
Mike Trout
 18% Nathan Eovaldi RHP4.02 ERA Globe Life Field 11.3% 51.1% 91.2
15
Miguel Vargas
 17.8% Patrick Sandoval LHP ERA Rate Field 10.1% 46.2% 90.4

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 9, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 9, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 9, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 9, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 28.2% model home run probability, facing Brady Singer (5.03 ERA) at Great American Ball Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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