Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 8, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 8

MLB Home Run Props
July 8, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 8 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 8, 2026 is Juan Soto (NYM) at a 23% model home run probability, facing Steven Cruz (5.08 ERA) at Citi Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Juan Soto
 23% Steven Cruz RHP5.08 ERA Citi Field 10.4% 49.3% 92.8
2
Hunter Goodman
 22.7% Roki Sasaki RHP5.40 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 9.8% 45.5% 91.1
3
Kyle Schwarber
 22.7% Chase Burns RHP2.40 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.5% 53.9% 93.5
4
Mickey Moniak
 22.4% Roki Sasaki RHP5.40 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 9.1% 42.9% 90
5
Matt Olson
 22.2% Jared Jones RHP5.28 ERA PNC Park 9.5% 51.7% 92.8
6
Dillon Dingler
 21.4% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.79 ERA Comerica Park 8.3% 48% 90.1
7
Pete Alonso
 21.3% Colin Rea RHP4.74 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 7.6% 54.3% 94.1
8
Esmerlyn Valdez
 20.7% Grant Holmes RHP3.83 ERA PNC Park 15.4% 50% 90.5
9
Nick Kurtz
 20.3% Troy Melton RHP2.05 ERA Comerica Park 9.2% 59.1% 94.4
10
Pete Crow-Armstrong
 19.3% Dean Kremer RHP3.18 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 6.7% 49.6% 90.4
11
Brandon Lowe
 19.3% Grant Holmes RHP3.83 ERA PNC Park 8.2% 45.6% 90.9
12
Drake Baldwin
 18.7% Jared Jones RHP5.28 ERA PNC Park 10.2% 49.5% 91.2
13
Michael Harris II
 18.7% Jared Jones RHP5.28 ERA PNC Park 10.2% 50.8% 92
14
Riley Greene
 18.7% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.79 ERA Comerica Park 8.5% 51.1% 92
15
Yordan Alvarez
 18.3% Foster Griffin LHP2.87 ERA Nationals Park 12.6% 53.8% 94.8

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 8, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 8, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 8, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 8, 2026 is Juan Soto (NYM) at a 23% model home run probability, facing Steven Cruz (5.08 ERA) at Citi Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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