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MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 6

MLB Home Run Props
July 6, 2026

Data as of 05:01 ET, Jul 6 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 6, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 24.4% model home run probability, facing Eric Lauer (4.84 ERA) at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Hunter Goodman
 24.4% Eric Lauer LHP4.84 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 10.1% 46.6% 91.5
2
James Wood
 23% Mike Burrows RHP5.58 ERA Nationals Park 12.1% 60.5% 95.4
3
Mickey Moniak
 22.5% Eric Lauer LHP4.84 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 9.3% 43.2% 90
4
Yordan Alvarez
 22.3% Miles Mikolas RHP5.44 ERA Nationals Park 12.9% 54.3% 94.8
5
Mookie Betts
 21.5% Kyle Freeland LHP7.25 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 6.8% 38.9% 90.7
6
Kyle Schwarber
 21.3% Noah Cameron LHP4.95 ERA Kauffman Stadium 9.7% 53.9% 93.6
7
Luis García Jr.
 21.2% Mike Burrows RHP5.58 ERA Nationals Park 8.3% 46.8% 92.1
8
Matt Olson
 21.1% Freddy Peralta RHP4.81 ERA Truist Park 9.2% 51.6% 92.9
9
CJ Abrams
 21% Mike Burrows RHP5.58 ERA Nationals Park 6.6% 41.3% 90
10
Ben Rice
 20% Griffin Jax RHP3.45 ERA Tropicana Field 9% 45.6% 91.7
11
Drake Baldwin
 19.3% Freddy Peralta RHP4.81 ERA Truist Park 10.2% 48.4% 91.1
12
Michael Harris II
 18.7% Freddy Peralta RHP4.81 ERA Truist Park 10.5% 50.8% 91.9
13
Christian Walker
 18.5% Miles Mikolas RHP5.44 ERA Nationals Park 6.8% 43.6% 89.8
14
Andy Pages
 18.3% Kyle Freeland LHP7.25 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 6.2% 44.4% 89.1
15
Willy Adames
 17.9% Kevin Gausman RHP4.19 ERA Oracle Park 6% 41.1% 88.4

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 6, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 6, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 6, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 6, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 24.4% model home run probability, facing Eric Lauer (4.84 ERA) at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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