Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 3, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 3

MLB Home Run Props
July 3, 2026

Data as of 05:01 ET, Jul 3 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 3, 2026 is Kody Clemens (MIN) at a 28.8% model home run probability, facing Gerrit Cole (4.06 ERA) at Yankee Stadium.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Kody Clemens
 28.8% Gerrit Cole RHP4.06 ERA Yankee Stadium 8.9% 46.8% 92.7
2
Juan Soto
 28.2% Grant Holmes RHP3.96 ERA Truist Park 10.4% 50.2% 93
3
Jackson Chourio
 27.3% Jose Cabrera RHP3.60 ERA Chase Field 9.4% 47.1% 92.4
4
Pete Alonso
 27.2% Brady Singer RHP5.12 ERA Great American Ball Park 7.9% 53.8% 94.1
5
Gunnar Henderson
 26.8% Brady Singer RHP5.12 ERA Great American Ball Park 5.3% 43.9% 89.5
6
Ben Rice
 26.6% Mike Paredes RHP4.26 ERA Yankee Stadium 8.9% 45.9% 91.7
7
Casey Schmitt
 25.3% Ryan Feltner RHP4.42 ERA Coors Field 9.8% 43.6% 89.7
8
Esmerlyn Valdez
 24.9% Foster Griffin LHP2.93 ERA Nationals Park 16.9% 57.6% 92.3
9
Samuel Basallo
 24.6% Brady Singer RHP5.12 ERA Great American Ball Park 7.5% 45.5% 91.4
10
Josh Bell
 24.4% Gerrit Cole RHP4.06 ERA Yankee Stadium 7.4% 42.4% 89.5
11
Sal Stewart
 24.4% Trevor Rogers LHP4.99 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.8% 41.3% 91
12
Adley Rutschman
 24.3% Brady Singer RHP5.12 ERA Great American Ball Park 6.3% 43% 89.4
13
James Wood
 24.1% Mitch Keller RHP4.87 ERA Nationals Park 12.2% 59.7% 95.1
14
Elly De La Cruz
 23.5% Trevor Rogers LHP4.99 ERA Great American Ball Park 8.9% 52.8% 94.3
15
Rafael Devers
 23.3% Ryan Feltner RHP4.42 ERA Coors Field 7.2% 51.1% 92.2

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 3, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 3, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 3, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 3, 2026 is Kody Clemens (MIN) at a 28.8% model home run probability, facing Gerrit Cole (4.06 ERA) at Yankee Stadium. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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