Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 2, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 2

MLB Home Run Props
July 2, 2026

Data as of 05:01 ET, Jul 2 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 2, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 33.7% model home run probability, facing Ryan Gusto (5.06 ERA) at Coors Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Hunter Goodman
 33.7% Ryan Gusto RHP5.06 ERA Coors Field 10.1% 46.9% 91.4
2
Kyle Schwarber
 32% Jared Jones RHP5.76 ERA Citizens Bank Park 10.1% 53.2% 93.3
3
Bryce Harper
 31.6% Jared Jones RHP5.76 ERA Citizens Bank Park 8.3% 47.1% 90.5
4
Kyle Stowers
 29% Michael Lorenzen RHP6.83 ERA Coors Field 6.5% 52.7% 91
5
Junior Caminero
 27.5% Stephen Kolek RHP4.15 ERA Kauffman Stadium 9.2% 52.2% 93.5
6
Brandon Marsh
 27.2% Jared Jones RHP5.76 ERA Citizens Bank Park 6.3% 46.1% 89.7
7
Mookie Betts
 26.6% Randy Vásquez RHP4.44 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 6.7% 38.2% 90.4
8
Owen Caissie
 25.9% Michael Lorenzen RHP6.83 ERA Coors Field 8.2% 47.5% 91.6
9
Liam Hicks
 25.1% Michael Lorenzen RHP6.83 ERA Coors Field 3.4% 30.6% 85.4
10
Miguel Vargas
 25.1% Slade Cecconi RHP4.18 ERA Progressive Field 9.7% 45.9% 90.2
11
Andy Pages
 25% Randy Vásquez RHP4.44 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 6.5% 44.9% 89.2
12
Ty France
 24% Roki Sasaki RHP4.88 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 7.9% 47.2% 91.2
13
Esmerlyn Valdez
 23.8% Alan Rangel RHP4.50 ERA Citizens Bank Park 18.5% 65.5% 94.9
14
Griffin Conine
 23.2% Michael Lorenzen RHP6.83 ERA Coors Field 8.9% 52.9% 88.7
15
Manny Machado
 23.1% Roki Sasaki RHP4.88 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 7% 43.1% 90

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 2, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 2, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 2, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 2, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 33.7% model home run probability, facing Ryan Gusto (5.06 ERA) at Coors Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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