Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 1, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 1

MLB Home Run Props
July 1, 2026

Data as of 11:26 ET, Jul 1 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 1, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 31.8% model home run probability, facing Max Meyer (2.60 ERA) at Coors Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Hunter Goodman
 31.8% Max Meyer RHP2.60 ERA Coors Field 10.1% 46.9% 91.4
2
Junior Caminero
 30.6% Seth Lugo RHP4.18 ERA Kauffman Stadium 9.2% 52.2% 93.5
3
Manny Machado
 29.7% Colin Rea RHP4.80 ERA Wrigley Field 7% 43.1% 90
4
Jackson Chourio
 29.5% Andrew Abbott LHP3.90 ERA American Family Field 9.6% 48.1% 92.8
5
Miguel Vargas
 29.2% Dean Kremer RHP4.09 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 9.7% 45.9% 90.2
6
Willy Adames
 28.5% Zac Gallen RHP6.15 ERA Chase Field 6.1% 40.5% 88.4
7
Ty France
 27.6% Colin Rea RHP4.80 ERA Wrigley Field 7.9% 47.2% 91.2
8
Ketel Marte
 25.7% Trevor McDonald RHP4.94 ERA Chase Field 9% 46.4% 91.4
9
Ben Rice
 25.2% Troy Melton RHP2.39 ERA Yankee Stadium 9.1% 45.9% 91.7
10
Juan Soto
 25.1% Braydon Fisher RHP3.48 ERA Rogers Centre 10.2% 50.5% 93.2
11
Matt Olson
 25.1% Michael McGreevy RHP3.12 ERA Truist Park 9.1% 51.2% 92.8
12
Yordan Alvarez
 24.9% Taj Bradley RHP3.98 ERA Daikin Park 12.6% 53.7% 94.5
13
Pete Alonso
 24.9% Noah Schultz LHP5.82 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 8% 54% 94.2
14
Kody Clemens
 24.6% Tatsuya Imai RHP5.36 ERA Daikin Park 8.7% 46.5% 92.7
15
Kyle Stowers
 24.1% Kyle Freeland LHP7.50 ERA Coors Field 6.5% 52.7% 91

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 1, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 1, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 1, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 1, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 31.8% model home run probability, facing Max Meyer (2.60 ERA) at Coors Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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