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MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 30

MLB Home Run Props
June 30, 2026

Data as of 11:53 ET, Jun 30 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 30, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 38% model home run probability, facing Eury Pérez (4.41 ERA) at Coors Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Hunter Goodman
 38% Eury Pérez RHP4.41 ERA Coors Field 10.2% 47.2% 91.6
2
Miguel Vargas
 32.3% Trey Gibson RHP5.64 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 9.8% 45.4% 90.1
3
Mookie Betts
 30.3% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.52 ERA Sutter Health Park 6.9% 38.7% 90.4
4
Kyle Stowers
 29.7% Tanner Gordon RHP6.37 ERA Coors Field 6.2% 52.7% 90.8
5
Kyle Schwarber
 29.3% Bubba Chandler RHP4.42 ERA Citizens Bank Park 10.2% 53.6% 93.4
6
Pete Alonso
 28.5% Erick Fedde RHP4.34 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 8.1% 54% 94.2
7
Owen Caissie
 28.3% Tanner Gordon RHP6.37 ERA Coors Field 8% 46.7% 91.4
8
Francisco Alvarez
 27.4% Kevin Gausman RHP4.36 ERA Rogers Centre 11.2% 44.9% 90.8
9
Sal Stewart
 27.2% Brandon Sproat RHP5.43 ERA American Family Field 9.7% 40.8% 90.9
10
Shohei Ohtani
 27.2% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.52 ERA Sutter Health Park 10% 53.7% 94.1
11
Max Muncy
 27% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.52 ERA Sutter Health Park 9.4% 45.3% 90.2
12
Bryce Harper
 26.7% Bubba Chandler RHP4.42 ERA Citizens Bank Park 8.5% 46.6% 90.4
13
Randal Grichuk
 26.7% Trey Gibson RHP5.64 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 10.5% 47.8% 90.4
14
Matt Olson
 26.2% Matthew Liberatore LHP5.56 ERA Truist Park 9% 51.2% 92.8
15
Freddie Freeman
 26.1% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.52 ERA Sutter Health Park 7.8% 45.7% 90.7

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 30, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 30, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 30, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 30, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 38% model home run probability, facing Eury Pérez (4.41 ERA) at Coors Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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