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MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 30

MLB Home Run Props
June 30, 2026

Data as of 05:03 ET, Jun 30 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 30, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 77.6% model home run probability, facing Eury Pérez (4.41 ERA) at Coors Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Hunter Goodman
 77.6% Eury Pérez RHP4.41 ERA Coors Field 10.1% 46.9% 91.4
2
Miguel Vargas
 60.1% Trey Gibson RHP5.64 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 9.7% 45.3% 90.1
3
Kyle Schwarber
 49% Bubba Chandler RHP4.42 ERA Citizens Bank Park 10.4% 53.3% 93.6
4
Mookie Betts
 44% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.52 ERA Sutter Health Park 7% 38.1% 90.2
5
Owen Caissie
 42.7% Tanner Gordon RHP6.37 ERA Coors Field 8% 47.5% 91.7
6
Kyle Stowers
 42% Tanner Gordon RHP6.37 ERA Coors Field 6% 52.1% 90.6
7
Shohei Ohtani
 41.9% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.52 ERA Sutter Health Park 9.9% 54.3% 94.1
8
Max Muncy
 41.7% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.52 ERA Sutter Health Park 9.2% 45.2% 90
9
Randal Grichuk
 40.7% Trey Gibson RHP5.64 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 10.9% 48.2% 90.7
10
Pete Alonso
 40% Erick Fedde RHP4.34 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 8.2% 54.3% 94.2
11
Luis García Jr.
 39.8% Connelly Early LHP3.59 ERA Fenway Park 8.1% 47.2% 92.4
12
Francisco Alvarez
 39.5% Kevin Gausman RHP4.36 ERA Rogers Centre 10.4% 44.4% 90.5
13
Sal Stewart
 38.1% Brandon Sproat RHP5.43 ERA American Family Field 9.8% 40.8% 90.8
14
Freddie Freeman
 37.7% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.52 ERA Sutter Health Park 7.9% 46.2% 90.9
15
Bryce Harper
 36.9% Bubba Chandler RHP4.42 ERA Citizens Bank Park 8.3% 46.2% 90.2

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 30, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 30, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 30, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 30, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 77.6% model home run probability, facing Eury Pérez (4.41 ERA) at Coors Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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