Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 29, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 29

MLB Home Run Props
June 29, 2026

Data as of 05:02 ET, Jun 29 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 29, 2026 is Brandon Lowe (PIT) at a 49.1% model home run probability, facing Aaron Nola (5.58 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Brandon Lowe
 49.1% Aaron Nola RHP5.58 ERA Citizens Bank Park 8.2% 46.4% 90.8
2
Willson Contreras
 45.7% Miles Mikolas RHP5.24 ERA Fenway Park 8.2% 45.5% 90.2
3
Ketel Marte
 41.6% Tyler Mahle RHP5.49 ERA Chase Field 8.7% 46.5% 91.5
4
Shea Langeliers
 40.1% Eric Lauer LHP4.87 ERA Sutter Health Park 10.2% 43.3% 91.5
5
Hunter Goodman
 37.4% Sandy Alcantara RHP4.01 ERA Coors Field 10.2% 46.6% 91.4
6
Jackson Chourio
 36.2% Nick Lodolo LHP5.59 ERA American Family Field 9.8% 46.6% 92.4
7
Miguel Vargas
 35.9% Shane Baz RHP4.31 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 9.5% 45.3% 90
8
Esmerlyn Valdez
 34.6% Aaron Nola RHP5.58 ERA Citizens Bank Park 15% 65% 94.7
9
Nick Kurtz
 34.3% Eric Lauer LHP4.87 ERA Sutter Health Park 9.3% 58.6% 94.4
10
Kyle Schwarber
 32.9% Braxton Ashcraft RHP3.07 ERA Citizens Bank Park 10.3% 52.5% 93.4
11
Kerry Carpenter
 30.6% Ryan Weathers LHP3.95 ERA Yankee Stadium 6.3% 48.2% 90.8
12
Ryan O'Hearn
 30.6% Aaron Nola RHP5.58 ERA Citizens Bank Park 3.9% 43.8% 89.5
13
Max Muncy
 30.2% Eric Lauer LHP4.87 ERA Sutter Health Park 7.1% 49.5% 90.9
14
Spencer Torkelson
 29.9% Ryan Weathers LHP3.95 ERA Yankee Stadium 7.2% 43.4% 89.9
15
Nate Eaton
 28.5% Miles Mikolas RHP5.24 ERA Fenway Park 9.1% 46.2% 94.8

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 29, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 29, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 29, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 29, 2026 is Brandon Lowe (PIT) at a 49.1% model home run probability, facing Aaron Nola (5.58 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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