Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 28, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 28

MLB Home Run Props
June 28, 2026

Data as of 05:02 ET, Jun 28 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 28, 2026 is Corey Seager (TEX) at a 49.3% model home run probability, facing Shane Bieber (9.82 ERA) at Rogers Centre.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Corey Seager
 49.3% Shane Bieber RHP9.82 ERA Rogers Centre 9.1% 43.8% 90.9
2
Brandon Nimmo
 48.6% Shane Bieber RHP9.82 ERA Rogers Centre 9% 52.7% 92.6
3
Kyle Schwarber
 47.2% Cionel Pérez LHP4.99 ERA Citi Field 10.4% 52.3% 93.3
4
Wyatt Langford
 44.2% Shane Bieber RHP9.82 ERA Rogers Centre 5.8% 36% 88.7
5
Jonathan Aranda
 43.5% Merrill Kelly RHP5.71 ERA Tropicana Field 6.5% 44.8% 90.7
6
Jake Burger
 42% Shane Bieber RHP9.82 ERA Rogers Centre 6.6% 46.9% 90.3
7
Junior Caminero
 39.6% Merrill Kelly RHP5.71 ERA Tropicana Field 9% 52.1% 93.3
8
Hunter Goodman
 38.8% Connor Prielipp LHP5.17 ERA Target Field 9.4% 45.9% 91.2
9
Bryce Harper
 38.7% Cionel Pérez LHP4.99 ERA Citi Field 8.2% 46.1% 90.3
10
Joc Pederson
 37.9% Shane Bieber RHP9.82 ERA Rogers Centre 7.1% 49.1% 92
11
Justin Foscue
 37.4% Shane Bieber RHP9.82 ERA Rogers Centre 8.8% 47.5% 90.4
12
Byron Buxton
 36.9% Ryan Feltner RHP4.79 ERA Target Field 12.8% 48.4% 90.7
13
Esmerlyn Valdez
 35.5% Brady Singer RHP4.81 ERA PNC Park 15.4% 63.2% 94.2
14
Gunnar Henderson
 34.4% Zack Littell RHP5.40 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 5.6% 45.2% 89.5
15
Samuel Basallo
 33.6% Zack Littell RHP5.40 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 7.9% 45.2% 91.3

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 28, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 28, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 28, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 28, 2026 is Corey Seager (TEX) at a 49.3% model home run probability, facing Shane Bieber (9.82 ERA) at Rogers Centre. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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