Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 25, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 25

MLB Home Run Props
June 25, 2026

Data as of 05:02 ET, Jun 25 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 25, 2026 is Casey Schmitt (SF) at a 44.7% model home run probability, facing Jeffrey Springs (5.55 ERA) at Oracle Park.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Casey Schmitt
 44.7% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.55 ERA Oracle Park 9.8% 43.4% 89.4
2
Yordan Alvarez
 42% Troy Melton RHP2.56 ERA Comerica Park 12.6% 53.6% 94.5
3
Kyle Schwarber
 35.4% Cade Cavalli RHP4.07 ERA Nationals Park 10.7% 52% 93.2
4
Paul Goldschmidt
 34.6% Connelly Early LHP3.64 ERA Fenway Park 8.2% 39.2% 86.9
5
Dillon Dingler
 34.2% Tatsuya Imai RHP6.15 ERA Comerica Park 9% 50.5% 91
6
Ben Rice
 33.6% Connelly Early LHP3.64 ERA Fenway Park 9.5% 46.7% 91.9
7
Juan Soto
 32.2% Matthew Boyd LHP6.00 ERA Citi Field 10.4% 50% 93.3
8
Francisco Alvarez
 29.4% Matthew Boyd LHP6.00 ERA Citi Field 10.6% 45.1% 90.7
9
Luke Raley
 28.8% Bubba Chandler RHP4.62 ERA PNC Park 10.2% 48.5% 90.9
10
Kazuma Okamoto
 28.1% MacKenzie Gore LHP4.07 ERA Rogers Centre 8.5% 50.6% 92.2
11
Junior Caminero
 28% Seth Lugo RHP3.69 ERA Tropicana Field 8.1% 51.5% 93.2
12
Pete Crow-Armstrong
 28% Freddy Peralta RHP4.83 ERA Citi Field 7.5% 51.4% 91.5
13
Alec Burleson
 27.5% Zac Gallen RHP6.10 ERA Busch Stadium 8.1% 48.6% 91.7
14
Ketel Marte
 26.2% Michael McGreevy RHP3.35 ERA Busch Stadium 8.2% 46.3% 91.3
15
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
 25% Connelly Early LHP3.64 ERA Fenway Park 5.6% 40.5% 90.2

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 25, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 25, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 25, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 25, 2026 is Casey Schmitt (SF) at a 44.7% model home run probability, facing Jeffrey Springs (5.55 ERA) at Oracle Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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