MLB Home Run Props
June 24, 2026
BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 24, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 58.5% model home run probability, facing Miles Mikolas (5.47 ERA) at Nationals Park.
| # | Hitter | P(HR) | Faces |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58.5% | Miles Mikolas RHP5.47 ERA | |
| 2 | 43.9% | Tanner Bibee RHP4.03 ERA | |
| 3 | 43.3% | Aaron Nola RHP5.71 ERA | |
| 4 | 42.5% | Matthew Liberatore LHP5.23 ERA | |
| 5 | 39.6% | Ryan Weathers LHP4.13 ERA | |
| 6 | 38.6% | Trey Gibson RHP5.81 ERA | |
| 7 | 35.6% | Mike Burrows RHP5.79 ERA | |
| 8 | 33.6% | Joe Ryan RHP2.99 ERA | |
| 9 | 33.2% | Tyler Mahle RHP6.04 ERA | |
| 10 | 31.5% | Kyle Freeland LHP7.36 ERA | |
| 11 | 31.2% | Griffin Jax RHP3.67 ERA | |
| 12 | 29.4% | Eury Pérez RHP4.60 ERA | |
| 13 | 27.4% | Shane Drohan LHP3.40 ERA | |
| 14 | 22.3% | Rhett Lowder RHP4.82 ERA | |
| 15 | 22% | Tarik Skubal LHP3.02 ERA |
P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 24, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.
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How These Home Run Picks Are Built
BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.
Home Run Props FAQ · June 24, 2026
Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 24, 2026?
BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 24, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 58.5% model home run probability, facing Miles Mikolas (5.47 ERA) at Nationals Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.
How does BetLogic rank home run props?
BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.
Are these MLB home run picks free?
Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.
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