Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 23, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 23

MLB Home Run Props
June 23, 2026

Data as of 05:02 ET, Jun 23 · 14 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 23, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 60.3% model home run probability, facing Zack Littell (5.45 ERA) at Nationals Park.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Kyle Schwarber
 60.3% Zack Littell RHP5.45 ERA Nationals Park 10.8% 52.1% 93.3
2
Sal Stewart
 43.8% Brandon Sproat RHP5.94 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.7% 41.2% 90.8
3
Juan Soto
 41.1% Edward Cabrera RHP5.21 ERA Citi Field 10.5% 50% 93.3
4
Casey Schmitt
 40.6% Aaron Civale RHP4.91 ERA Oracle Park 9.9% 43% 89.4
5
Seiya Suzuki
 36.7% Kodai Senga RHP9.00 ERA Citi Field 5.4% 41% 89.4
6
Gunnar Henderson
 36.7% Ryan Johnson RHP12.83 ERA Angel Stadium 5.9% 45.8% 89.7
7
Corbin Carroll
 35% Kyle Leahy RHP4.63 ERA Busch Stadium 8.2% 49.8% 91.8
8
Jackson Chourio
 32.8% Nick Lodolo LHP6.12 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.4% 48.1% 92.3
9
Wilyer Abreu
 31.5% Sean Sullivan LHP10.29 ERA Coors Field 7.9% 42.3% 90
10
Shea Langeliers
 31.2% Robbie Ray LHP4.07 ERA Oracle Park 10.6% 43.5% 91.5
11
Mickey Moniak
 30.1% Sonny Gray RHP3.12 ERA Coors Field 9.1% 41.4% 89.7
12
Kazuma Okamoto
 27.5% Peter Lambert RHP3.23 ERA Rogers Centre 8.5% 50.6% 92.1
13
Yordan Alvarez
 25.2% Shane Bieber RHP ERA Rogers Centre 12.7% 53.9% 94.5
14
Kody Clemens
 22.3% Justin Wrobleski LHP2.72 ERA Target Field 8.9% 44.5% 92.5

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 23, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 23, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 23, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 23, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 60.3% model home run probability, facing Zack Littell (5.45 ERA) at Nationals Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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