Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 22, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 22

MLB Home Run Props
June 22, 2026

Data as of 05:01 ET, Jun 22 · 12 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 22, 2026 is Byron Buxton (MIN) at a 51.2% model home run probability, facing Eric Lauer (5.37 ERA) at Target Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Byron Buxton
 51.2% Eric Lauer LHP5.37 ERA Target Field 12.5% 48.5% 90.7
2
Juan Soto
 44.2% Shota Imanaga LHP4.26 ERA Citi Field 10.7% 50.5% 93.4
3
Colson Montgomery
 42% Gavin Williams RHP3.83 ERA Rate Field 8% 46.5% 90.1
4
Alec Burleson
 40.4% Merrill Kelly RHP5.81 ERA Busch Stadium 8.4% 48.3% 91.6
5
Pete Crow-Armstrong
 39.3% Kodai Senga RHP9.00 ERA Citi Field 7.3% 51.2% 91.4
6
Kyle Schwarber
 35.2% Foster Griffin LHP3.32 ERA Nationals Park 10.6% 52.1% 93.3
7
Jackson Chourio
 33.8% Brady Singer RHP5.32 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.6% 48.8% 92.4
8
Mookie Betts
 33.6% Zebby Matthews RHP4.78 ERA Target Field 6.6% 36.8% 89.8
9
Jackson Merrill
 28.4% Grant Holmes RHP4.33 ERA Petco Park 6.9% 47.6% 90.2
10
Ben Rice
 25.7% Framber Valdez LHP4.09 ERA Comerica Park 9.9% 47.4% 92
11
Wilyer Abreu
 24.3% Ryan Feltner RHP5.05 ERA Coors Field 7.9% 42.3% 90
12
Drake Baldwin
 21.6% Michael King RHP3.60 ERA Petco Park 12% 52.3% 92.3

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 22, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 22, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 22, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 22, 2026 is Byron Buxton (MIN) at a 51.2% model home run probability, facing Eric Lauer (5.37 ERA) at Target Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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