MLB Home Run Props
June 20, 2026
BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 20, 2026 is Byron Buxton (MIN) at a 39.1% model home run probability, facing Zac Gallen (5.35 ERA) at Chase Field.
| # | Hitter | P(HR) | Faces |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39.1% | Zac Gallen RHP5.35 ERA | |
| 2 | 35.8% | Ian Seymour LHP4.93 ERA | |
| 3 | 34.8% | Colin Rea RHP5.35 ERA | |
| 4 | 31.9% | Troy Melton RHP2.81 ERA | |
| 5 | 30.5% | Trevor Rogers LHP5.86 ERA | |
| 6 | 30.3% | Freddy Peralta RHP3.90 ERA | |
| 7 | 28.3% | Tomoyuki Sugano RHP4.54 ERA | |
| 8 | 27.4% | Andrew Abbott LHP3.95 ERA | |
| 9 | 24.9% | Taj Bradley RHP4.14 ERA | |
| 10 | 24.4% | Connelly Early LHP3.81 ERA | |
| 11 | 24.3% | Max Meyer RHP2.75 ERA | |
| 12 | 24.2% | Emerson Hancock RHP3.28 ERA | |
| 13 | 23.3% | Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHP2.52 ERA | |
| 14 | 21.2% | Patrick Corbin LHP4.57 ERA | |
| 15 | 20.2% | Joey Cantillo LHP4.38 ERA |
P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 20, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.
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How These Home Run Picks Are Built
BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.
Home Run Props FAQ · June 20, 2026
Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 20, 2026?
BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 20, 2026 is Byron Buxton (MIN) at a 39.1% model home run probability, facing Zac Gallen (5.35 ERA) at Chase Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.
How does BetLogic rank home run props?
BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.
Are these MLB home run picks free?
Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.
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