Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 19, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 19

MLB Home Run Props
June 19, 2026

Data as of 10:52 ET, Jun 19 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 19, 2026 is Yordan Alvarez (HOU) at a 43.6% model home run probability, facing Tanner Bibee (3.96 ERA) at Daikin Park.

See Today's Live Board → Jump to All 15 Picks
#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Yordan Alvarez
 43.6% Tanner Bibee RHP3.96 ERA Daikin Park 12.5% 53.8% 94.5
2
James Wood
 37.2% Griffin Jax RHP3.68 ERA Tropicana Field 12.6% 58.2% 95.5
3
Max Muncy
 34.9% Trey Gibson RHP5.91 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 10% 46.9% 90.2
4
Pete Alonso
 34.7% Roki Sasaki RHP4.76 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 7.9% 55.1% 94.8
5
Dillon Dingler
 31.6% Erick Fedde RHP4.50 ERA Comerica Park 8.6% 50% 90.6
6
Nick Kurtz
 28.6% José Soriano RHP2.79 ERA Sutter Health Park 8.9% 57.9% 94.2
7
Endy Rodríguez
 28.4% Kyle Freeland LHP7.98 ERA Coors Field 7.9% 41.9% 92
8
Jo Adell
 28.2% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.13 ERA Sutter Health Park 6% 44.9% 90.3
9
Colson Montgomery
 27.8% Tarik Skubal LHP2.81 ERA Comerica Park 8.2% 47% 90.1
10
Jackson Merrill
 25.5% Jacob deGrom RHP3.17 ERA Globe Life Field 7.1% 47.2% 90.2
11
Jake Burger
 24.6% Randy Vásquez RHP3.63 ERA Globe Life Field 6.2% 46.1% 89.9
12
Bobby Witt Jr.
 24% Michael McGreevy RHP2.99 ERA Kauffman Stadium 8.6% 52.5% 93.3
13
Casey Schmitt
 23% Lake Bachar RHP2.97 ERA loanDepot park 8.9% 41.5% 89.1
14
Jordan Walker
 21.5% Seth Lugo RHP3.86 ERA Kauffman Stadium 9.4% 53.4% 94.8
15
Kyle Manzardo
 20.8% Tatsuya Imai RHP6.43 ERA Daikin Park 6.6% 42.9% 89

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 19, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

BetLogic Daily

Tomorrow's HR Board.
In your inbox by 6am.

The top power hitters with the strongest home run edge (ballpark, matchup, and barrel rate) delivered every morning at 6am ET before first pitch. Free. No spam. Unsubscribe in one click.

By subscribing you agree these picks are model output, not advice.

How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 19, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 19, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 19, 2026 is Yordan Alvarez (HOU) at a 43.6% model home run probability, facing Tanner Bibee (3.96 ERA) at Daikin Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

More Today

Live Home Run board · Strikeout props · Hot Hitters · Full slate breakdown