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MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 16

MLB Home Run Props
June 16, 2026

Data as of 05:02 ET, Jun 16 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 16, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 48.3% model home run probability, facing Edward Cabrera (4.86 ERA) at Wrigley Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Hunter Goodman
 48.3% Edward Cabrera RHP4.86 ERA Wrigley Field 8.9% 46.8% 91.1
2
Juan Soto
 47.4% Brady Singer RHP5.61 ERA Great American Ball Park 11.7% 49.7% 93
3
Jackson Chourio
 41.4% Slade Cecconi RHP4.83 ERA American Family Field 10.9% 49.1% 92.4
4
Matt Olson
 39.5% Adrian Houser RHP5.54 ERA Truist Park 9.6% 52.6% 93.5
5
JJ Bleday
 38.8% Kodai Senga RHP9.00 ERA Great American Ball Park 8.2% 46.4% 90
6
Mike Trout
 37.7% Merrill Kelly RHP5.46 ERA Chase Field 11.2% 51.7% 91.4
7
Seiya Suzuki
 33.2% Ryan Feltner RHP5.20 ERA Wrigley Field 5.9% 41.5% 89.2
8
Jake Burger
 32.6% Zebby Matthews RHP5.20 ERA Globe Life Field 6.5% 47.3% 90.1
9
James Wood
 29.7% Michael Wacha RHP3.58 ERA Nationals Park 13.1% 58.5% 95.7
10
Bryce Eldridge
 29.3% Grant Holmes RHP4.05 ERA Truist Park 8.3% 57.5% 92
11
Angel Martínez
 29% Robert Gasser LHP6.38 ERA American Family Field 5.8% 36.7% 87.9
12
Yordan Alvarez
 28.7% Framber Valdez LHP4.40 ERA Daikin Park 12.1% 52.6% 94.4
13
Gunnar Henderson
 27.4% Logan Gilbert RHP3.62 ERA T-Mobile Park 5.8% 45% 89.3
14
Shohei Ohtani
 27.2% Drew Rasmussen RHP2.71 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 10% 53.8% 93.8
15
Jonathan Aranda
 26.6% Justin Wrobleski LHP2.95 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 7.5% 46.1% 90.8

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 16, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 16, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 16, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 16, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 48.3% model home run probability, facing Edward Cabrera (4.86 ERA) at Wrigley Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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