Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 15, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 15

MLB Home Run Props
June 15, 2026

Data as of 05:01 ET, Jun 15 · 12 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 15, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 42.5% model home run probability, facing Shota Imanaga (4.44 ERA) at Wrigley Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Hunter Goodman
 42.5% Shota Imanaga LHP4.44 ERA Wrigley Field 8.4% 46.1% 90.8
2
Pete Crow-Armstrong
 40.1% Michael Lorenzen RHP7.54 ERA Wrigley Field 7.3% 49.5% 91.4
3
Nick Kurtz
 39.5% Jared Jones RHP4.73 ERA Sutter Health Park 9.2% 57% 94.1
4
Mike Trout
 37.4% Ryne Nelson RHP5.19 ERA Chase Field 11% 51.5% 91.7
5
Yordan Alvarez
 37.1% Troy Melton RHP2.81 ERA Daikin Park 12.3% 52.9% 94.6
6
James Wood
 36.2% Mitch Spence RHP13.50 ERA Nationals Park 13% 58.1% 95.6
7
JJ Bleday
 31.1% Tobias Myers RHP4.05 ERA Great American Ball Park 8.4% 47.2% 90
8
Juan Soto
 30.2% Chase Burns RHP2.14 ERA Great American Ball Park 11.9% 50% 93
9
Byron Buxton
 28.3% MacKenzie Gore LHP4.18 ERA Globe Life Field 12.6% 47.7% 90.5
10
Jonathan Aranda
 27.2% Eric Lauer LHP5.47 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 6.9% 46% 90.7
11
Kyle Schwarber
 22.5% Ryan Gusto RHP6.00 ERA Citizens Bank Park 10.6% 50.3% 93.2
12
Kerry Carpenter
 21.3% Kai-Wei Teng RHP3.71 ERA Daikin Park 6.5% 46.1% 91

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 15, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 15, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 15, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 15, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 42.5% model home run probability, facing Shota Imanaga (4.44 ERA) at Wrigley Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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