Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 14, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 14

MLB Home Run Props
June 14, 2026

Data as of 12:10 ET, Jun 14 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 14, 2026 is Nick Kurtz (ATH) at a 48.1% model home run probability, facing Tomoyuki Sugano (4.08 ERA) at Las Vegas Ballpark.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Nick Kurtz
 48.1% Tomoyuki Sugano RHP4.08 ERA Las Vegas Ballpark 9.2% 57% 94.1
2
Byron Buxton
 36.6% Michael McGreevy RHP2.99 ERA Target Field 12.6% 47.7% 90.5
3
Colson Montgomery
 36.5% Emmet Sheehan RHP4.70 ERA Rate Field 7.6% 45.9% 89.8
4
Corey Seager
 34.7% Connelly Early LHP3.30 ERA Fenway Park 9.3% 44.8% 91.2
5
Paul Goldschmidt
 34.5% Patrick Corbin LHP4.55 ERA Rogers Centre 8.2% 40.5% 87.4
6
Matt Olson
 33.1% Freddy Peralta RHP4.04 ERA Citi Field 9.7% 52.9% 93.5
7
James Wood
 32.7% Emerson Hancock RHP2.74 ERA Nationals Park 13% 58.1% 95.6
8
Willson Contreras
 29.5% Nathan Eovaldi RHP4.26 ERA Fenway Park 8.8% 44.6% 90.2
9
Alec Burleson
 28.1% Taj Bradley RHP4.02 ERA Target Field 8.5% 47.5% 91.4
10
Hunter Goodman
 27.6% Jeffrey Springs LHP4.68 ERA Las Vegas Ballpark 8.4% 46.1% 90.8
11
Matt McLain
 26.8% Zac Gallen RHP5.43 ERA Great American Ball Park 6.5% 38.8% 88.5
12
Dominic Canzone
 25.6% PJ Poulin LHP3.20 ERA Nationals Park 11.8% 49.6% 93.2
13
Dillon Dingler
 24.7% Gavin Williams RHP3.32 ERA Progressive Field 9% 51.6% 90.9
14
Kyle Schwarber
 23.4% Kyle Harrison LHP2.72 ERA American Family Field 10.6% 50.3% 93.2
15
Corbin Carroll
 22.4% Andrew Abbott LHP4.10 ERA Great American Ball Park 8.7% 50% 91.9

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 14, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 14, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 14, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 14, 2026 is Nick Kurtz (ATH) at a 48.1% model home run probability, facing Tomoyuki Sugano (4.08 ERA) at Las Vegas Ballpark. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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