Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 14, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 14

MLB Home Run Props
June 14, 2026

Data as of 05:02 ET, Jun 14 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 14, 2026 is Nick Kurtz (ATH) at a 48.4% model home run probability, facing Tomoyuki Sugano (4.08 ERA) at Las Vegas Ballpark.

See Today's Live Board → Jump to All 15 Picks
#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Nick Kurtz
 48.4% Tomoyuki Sugano RHP4.08 ERA Las Vegas Ballpark 9.3% 57.4% 94.2
2
Colson Montgomery
 37.2% Emmet Sheehan RHP4.70 ERA Rate Field 7.6% 45.5% 89.8
3
Byron Buxton
 36.4% Michael McGreevy RHP2.99 ERA Target Field 12.5% 47.7% 90.6
4
Corey Seager
 34.4% Connelly Early LHP3.30 ERA Fenway Park 9.3% 44.8% 91.2
5
Paul Goldschmidt
 33.8% Patrick Corbin LHP4.55 ERA Rogers Centre 7.8% 41% 87.3
6
Matt Olson
 33.3% Freddy Peralta RHP4.04 ERA Citi Field 9.9% 53.2% 93.6
7
James Wood
 32.9% Emerson Hancock RHP2.74 ERA Nationals Park 13.2% 58.6% 95.9
8
Willson Contreras
 29.2% Nathan Eovaldi RHP4.26 ERA Fenway Park 8.9% 44.5% 90
9
Hunter Goodman
 27.8% Jeffrey Springs LHP4.68 ERA Las Vegas Ballpark 8.5% 46.4% 90.9
10
Andy Pages
 25.5% Erick Fedde RHP4.69 ERA Rate Field 7.2% 47.2% 89.8
11
Luke Raley
 24.8% Miles Mikolas RHP5.90 ERA Nationals Park 10.3% 47.9% 90.6
12
Kyle Schwarber
 23.4% Kyle Harrison LHP2.72 ERA American Family Field 10.8% 50.7% 93.3
13
Sal Stewart
 23.2% Zac Gallen RHP5.43 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.4% 40.6% 90.6
14
Jonathan Aranda
 22% Grayson Rodriguez RHP8.10 ERA Angel Stadium 7% 45.6% 90.7
15
Casey Schmitt
 19% Ryan Rolison LHP2.25 ERA Oracle Park 9.4% 42.3% 89.2

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 14, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

BetLogic Daily

Tomorrow's HR Board.
In your inbox by 6am.

The top power hitters with the strongest home run edge (ballpark, matchup, and barrel rate) delivered every morning at 6am ET before first pitch. Free. No spam. Unsubscribe in one click.

By subscribing you agree these picks are model output, not advice.

How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 14, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 14, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 14, 2026 is Nick Kurtz (ATH) at a 48.4% model home run probability, facing Tomoyuki Sugano (4.08 ERA) at Las Vegas Ballpark. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

More Today

Live Home Run board · Strikeout props · Hot Hitters · Full slate breakdown