Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 13, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 13

MLB Home Run Props
June 13, 2026

Data as of 05:01 ET, Jun 13 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 13, 2026 is James Wood (WSH) at a 42.3% model home run probability, facing Luis Castillo (5.16 ERA) at Nationals Park.

#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
James Wood
42.3% Luis Castillo RHP5.16 ERA Nationals Park 13% 58.4% 95.9
2
Yordan Alvarez
41.5% Noah Cameron LHP3.84 ERA Kauffman Stadium 12% 54.1% 94.9
3
Shea Langeliers
37.1% Kyle Freeland LHP7.81 ERA Las Vegas Ballpark 10.6% 44.8% 91.6
4
Kody Clemens
36.6% Matthew Liberatore LHP4.48 ERA Target Field 9.2% 43.6% 92.4
5
Pete Alonso
35.8% Randy Vásquez RHP3.63 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 8.3% 55.9% 95
6
Jackson Chourio
34% Aaron Nola RHP5.86 ERA American Family Field 9.9% 47.5% 92.2
7
Jac Caglianone
32.8% Mike Burrows RHP5.77 ERA Kauffman Stadium 9.5% 57.4% 93.8
8
Dillon Dingler
31.3% Joey Cantillo LHP4.57 ERA Progressive Field 9.3% 52% 90.9
9
Paul Goldschmidt
31% Kevin Gausman RHP3.60 ERA Rogers Centre 8.1% 41.6% 87.5
10
Shohei Ohtani
28% Sean Burke RHP3.88 ERA Rate Field 9.7% 53.1% 93.5
11
Willson Contreras
26.6% Jacob deGrom RHP3.18 ERA Fenway Park 9.1% 43.5% 89.8
12
Juan Soto
25.1% Martín Pérez LHP3.02 ERA Citi Field 11.9% 49.7% 93
13
Brandon Lowe
24% Lake Bachar RHP2.97 ERA PNC Park 8% 44.3% 90.1
14
Hunter Goodman
23.7% Joey Estes RHP ERA Las Vegas Ballpark 8.6% 46.7% 90.9
15
Mike Trout
21.8% Griffin Jax RHP4.15 ERA Angel Stadium 11.4% 52.4% 91.9

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 13, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 13, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 13, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 13, 2026 is James Wood (WSH) at a 42.3% model home run probability, facing Luis Castillo (5.16 ERA) at Nationals Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. Every BetLogic tool is completely free, no account, no paywall, no email gate. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.