Home/MLB Home Run Props/June 12, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jun 12

MLB Home Run Props
June 12, 2026

Data as of 05:02 ET, Jun 12 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 12, 2026 is Jackson Chourio (MIL) at a 38.4% model home run probability, facing Andrew Painter (6.21 ERA) at American Family Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Jackson Chourio
 38.4% Andrew Painter RHP6.21 ERA American Family Field 9.9% 47.5% 92.2
2
Adley Rutschman
 37.4% Griffin Canning RHP6.34 ERA Oriole Park at Camden Yards 7.4% 47.4% 90.4
3
Jac Caglianone
 31.8% Tatsuya Imai RHP5.24 ERA Kauffman Stadium 9.7% 58.7% 93.9
4
Miguel Vargas
 29.5% Roki Sasaki RHP4.03 ERA Rate Field 9.3% 45.3% 89.8
5
Kody Clemens
 28.9% Kyle Leahy RHP4.42 ERA Target Field 9.4% 44.5% 92.6
6
Kazuma Okamoto
 27.8% Ryan Weathers LHP3.86 ERA Rogers Centre 8.4% 51.3% 92.4
7
Rafael Devers
 26.2% Javier Assad RHP4.73 ERA Oracle Park 6.1% 50% 91.8
8
Luke Raley
 25.2% Zack Littell RHP4.76 ERA Nationals Park 10.8% 47% 90.2
9
Juan Soto
 25.2% Spencer Strider RHP4.00 ERA Citi Field 11.7% 48.4% 92.7
10
Andy Pages
 24.2% Anthony Kay LHP4.40 ERA Rate Field 7.5% 46.6% 89.7
11
Yordan Alvarez
 22.4% Luinder Avila RHP4.02 ERA Kauffman Stadium 12% 54.1% 94.9
12
Ketel Marte
 22.2% Nick Lodolo LHP5.51 ERA Great American Ball Park 8.3% 44.4% 90.7
13
Riley Greene
 21.6% Tanner Bibee RHP4.09 ERA Progressive Field 7.7% 51.2% 91.3
14
Willson Contreras
 20.8% Jack Leiter RHP4.69 ERA Fenway Park 9.1% 43.5% 89.8
15
Brandon Lowe
 20.5% Sandy Alcantara RHP4.33 ERA PNC Park 7.8% 44.5% 90

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 12, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · June 12, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 12, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 12, 2026 is Jackson Chourio (MIL) at a 38.4% model home run probability, facing Andrew Painter (6.21 ERA) at American Family Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. Every BetLogic tool is completely free, no account, no paywall, no email gate. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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