MLB Home Run Props
June 11, 2026
BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 11, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 40.3% model home run probability, facing Edward Cabrera (4.99 ERA) at Coors Field.
| # | Hitter | P(HR) | Faces |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40.3% | Edward Cabrera RHP4.99 ERA | |
| 2 | 30.9% | Zebby Matthews RHP4.15 ERA | |
| 3 | 26.8% | Keider Montero RHP3.95 ERA | |
| 4 | 25.8% | Ryan Feltner RHP4.22 ERA | |
| 5 | 23.2% | Merrill Kelly RHP5.71 ERA | |
| 6 | 20.3% | Mitch Keller RHP4.81 ERA | |
| 7 | 19.3% | Justin Wrobleski LHP2.62 ERA | |
| 8 | 19% | Kumar Rocker RHP3.54 ERA | |
| 9 | 16.1% | Michael Wacha RHP3.44 ERA | |
| 10 | 15.7% | Hunter Dobbins RHP2.77 ERA | |
| 11 | 15.5% | Christian Scott RHP2.50 ERA | |
| 12 | 14% | Kyle Bradish RHP3.89 ERA | |
| 13 | 11.5% | Tyler Phillips RHP2.08 ERA |
P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for June 11, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.
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How These Home Run Picks Are Built
BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.
Home Run Props FAQ · June 11, 2026
Who is the best MLB home run pick today, June 11, 2026?
BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for June 11, 2026 is Hunter Goodman (COL) at a 40.3% model home run probability, facing Edward Cabrera (4.99 ERA) at Coors Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet.
How does BetLogic rank home run props?
BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.
Are these MLB home run picks free?
Yes. Every BetLogic tool is completely free, no account, no paywall, no email gate. The live board is at betlogic.ai/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.
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