BetLogic AI · NFL

Baker Mayfield

Start or Sit · QB · Week 1
Updated 4:01 PM ET
BM
QB13
TB vs CIN
13.6 proj PPR
FLEX

Consider flexing Baker Mayfield in Week 1. He projects for 13.6 PPR points against a CIN defense ranked 3rd-softest against QBs (18.1 pts/g allowed vs the 15.2 average). TB is implied for 23.5 points.

Projection
Projected points
13.6PPR
Half 13.6Std 13.6
Opportunities / game
Matchup · vs CIN
18.1 3rd-softest vs QBs · Green · smash
QB fantasy pts allowed / game18.1
League average allowed15.2
What the betting market says
TB implied total
23.5
Game total
50.5
Prop line
BetLogic edge
+0.0
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FAQ
Should I start Baker Mayfield in Week 1?

Consider flexing Baker Mayfield in Week 1. He projects for 13.6 PPR points against a CIN defense ranked 3rd-softest against QBs (18.1 pts/g allowed vs the 15.2 average). TB is implied for 23.5 points. Verdict: FLEX (Coin-flip).

How does BetLogic project fantasy points?

Each projection combines expected volume, opponent difficulty from our Strength-of-Schedule dataset, and the Vegas game environment (team implied total), scored under your format. It updates through Sunday inactives.

Deciding between Baker Mayfield and Lamar Jackson? See who to start →

Projection is model output, not advice. Free shows the verdict, projection, matchup, and game environment; BetLogic Pro adds the exact edge over the prop line, the best price, full rankings, and a lineup optimizer. Updated 4:01 PM ET.