BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 9 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
BM
Baker Mayfield
QB · TB
This week
vs CHI · @away · 2026-11-08
Projection
13.6 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Matchup · CHI
17.19th most fantasy points allowed to QBs · Green · smash
Season · per game
136 pass yds · 0.6 pTD · 0.4 INT · 61.8% comp · 3.2 car · 16 rush yds · 5 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 20.8 · Total 47.6 · Edge 🔒
CW
Carson Wentz
QB · MIN
This week
vs BUF · @home · 2026-11-09
Projection
13.5 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Matchup · BUF
12.45th fewest fantasy points allowed to QBs · Red · tough
Season · per game
138 pass yds · 1.5 pTD · 59% comp · 4 car · 2.5 rush yds · 0.6 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 20.3 · Total 43.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Baker Mayfield Slight lean
  • Baker Mayfield projects 0.1 more PPR points (13.6 vs 13.5).
  • Softer matchup: the 9th most fantasy points allowed to QBs.
  • Better game script: TB implied for 20.8 vs MIN's 20.3.
FAQ
Should I start Baker Mayfield or Carson Wentz in Week 9?

Start Baker Mayfield over Carson Wentz in Week 9. Baker Mayfield projects for 13.6 PPR points to Carson Wentz's 13.5. Baker Mayfield projects 0.1 more PPR points (13.6 vs 13.5). Softer matchup: the 9th most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Better game script: TB implied for 20.8 vs MIN's 20.3.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:14 PM ET.