BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 9 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
TJ
Tez Johnson
WR · TB
This week
vs CHI · @away · 2026-11-08
Projection
4.6 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
24 yds · 1.3 rec · 0.15 xTD · 18.4% anytime TD · 3 opp/g
Matchup · CHI
28.93rd most fantasy points allowed to WRs · Green · smash
Season · per game
0.4 car · 2.5 rush yds · 6.7 YPC · 1.1 rec · 22.3 rec yds · 1.9 tgt · 60% catch · 11.9 yd/tgt · 7% tgt share · 26% air-yd
Market
Impl 20.8 · Total 47.6 · Edge 🔒
TI
Ted Hurst III
WR · TB
This week
vs CHI · @away · 2026-11-08
Projection
4.2 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
24 yds · 1.3 rec · 0.09 xTD · 14.1% anytime TD · 3.4 opp/g
Matchup · CHI
28.93rd most fantasy points allowed to WRs · Green · smash
Season · per game
1.6 rec · 24 rec yds · 3.4 tgt · 46% catch · 7 yd/tgt · 16% tgt share · 30% air-yd
Market
Impl 20.8 · Total 47.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Tez Johnson Slight lean
  • Tez Johnson projects 0.4 more PPR points (4.6 vs 4.2).
  • Softer matchup: the 3rd most fantasy points allowed to WRs.
FAQ
Should I start Tez Johnson or Ted Hurst III in Week 9?

Start Tez Johnson over Ted Hurst III in Week 9. Tez Johnson projects for 4.6 PPR points to Ted Hurst III's 4.2. Tez Johnson projects 0.4 more PPR points (4.6 vs 4.2). Softer matchup: the 3rd most fantasy points allowed to WRs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:14 PM ET.