BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
TH
T.J. Hockenson
TE · MIN
This week
vs TB · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
8.9 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Projected line
30 yds · 3.2 rec · 0.46 xTD · 25.8% anytime TD · 4.5 opp/g
Matchup · TB
13.24th-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
3.5 rec · 32.5 rec yds · 4.5 tgt · 78% catch · 7.2 yd/tgt · 21% tgt share · 15% air-yd
Market
Impl 21.5 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
CO
Cade Otton
TE · TB
This week
vs MIN · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
8.8 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Projected line
37 yds · 4.1 rec · 0.16 xTD · 9.9% anytime TD · 5.4 opp/g
Matchup · MIN
8.727th-softest vs TE · Red · tough
Season · per game
4 rec · 32 rec yds · 5.5 tgt · 73% catch · 5.8 yd/tgt · 18% tgt share · 17% air-yd
Market
Impl 23.0 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start T.J. Hockenson Slight lean
  • T.J. Hockenson projects 0.1 more PPR points (8.9 vs 8.8).
  • Softer matchup: 4th-easiest draw vs TEs.
FAQ
Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Cade Otton in Week 3?

Start T.J. Hockenson over Cade Otton in Week 3. T.J. Hockenson projects for 8.9 PPR points to Cade Otton's 8.8. T.J. Hockenson projects 0.1 more PPR points (8.9 vs 8.8). Softer matchup: 4th-easiest draw vs TEs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:16 PM ET.