BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 9 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
RJ
Roschon Johnson
RB · CHI
This week
vs TB · @home · 2026-11-08
Projection
3.4 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
17 yds · 1.1 rec · 0.1 xTD · 15.3% anytime TD · 3.5 opp/g
Matchup · TB
20.411th most fantasy points allowed to RBs · Neutral
Season · per game
4.8 car · 17.2 rush yds · 3.6 YPC · 1.5 rec · 14.3 rec yds · 1.8 tgt · 82% catch · 7.8 yd/tgt · 5% tgt share · 2% air-yd
Market
Impl 26.8 · Total 47.6 · Edge 🔒
RD
Ray Davis
RB · BUF
This week
vs MIN · @away · 2026-11-09
Projection
2.9 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
19 yds · 0.7 rec · 0.05 xTD · 10.9% anytime TD · 3.7 opp/g
Matchup · MIN
17.89th fewest fantasy points allowed to RBs · Red · tough
Season · per game
1.8 car · 7 rush yds · 3.8 YPC · 0.5 rec · 6.7 rec yds · 0.5 tgt · 100% catch · 13.3 yd/tgt · 2% tgt share · -1% air-yd
Market
Impl 23.3 · Total 43.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Roschon Johnson Slight lean
  • Roschon Johnson projects 0.5 more PPR points (3.4 vs 2.9).
  • Softer matchup: the 11th most fantasy points allowed to RBs.
  • Better game script: CHI implied for 26.8 vs BUF's 23.3.
FAQ
Should I start Roschon Johnson or Ray Davis in Week 9?

Start Roschon Johnson over Ray Davis in Week 9. Roschon Johnson projects for 3.4 PPR points to Ray Davis's 2.9. Roschon Johnson projects 0.5 more PPR points (3.4 vs 2.9). Softer matchup: the 11th most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Better game script: CHI implied for 26.8 vs BUF's 23.3.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:14 PM ET.