BetLogic AI · NFL

Patrick Mahomes

Start or Sit · QB · Week 3
Updated 5:43 PM ET
PM
QB5
KC vs MIA
17.1 proj PPR
START

Start Patrick Mahomes in Week 3. He projects for 17.1 PPR points against a MIA defense ranked 10th-softest against QBs (16.9 pts/g allowed vs the 15.2 average). KC is implied for 25.8 points.

Projection
Projected points
17.1PPR
Half 17.1Std 17.1
Opportunities / game—
Matchup · vs MIA
16.9 10th-softest vs QBs · Green · smash
QB fantasy pts allowed / game16.9
League average allowed15.2
What the betting market says
KC implied total
25.8
Game total
44.6
Prop line
—
BetLogic edge
+0.0
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FAQ
Should I start Patrick Mahomes in Week 3?

Start Patrick Mahomes in Week 3. He projects for 17.1 PPR points against a MIA defense ranked 10th-softest against QBs (16.9 pts/g allowed vs the 15.2 average). KC is implied for 25.8 points. Verdict: START (Lock).

How does BetLogic project fantasy points?

Each projection combines expected volume, opponent difficulty from our Strength-of-Schedule dataset, and the Vegas game environment (team implied total), scored under your format. It updates through Sunday inactives.

Deciding between Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow? See who to start →

Projection is model output, not advice. Free shows the verdict, projection, matchup, and game environment; BetLogic Pro adds the exact edge over the prop line, the best price, full rankings, and a lineup optimizer. Updated 5:43 PM ET.