BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
NG
Noah Gray
TE · KC
This week
vs MIA · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
2.4 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
11 yds · 1.2 rec · 0.02 xTD · 0.9% anytime TD · 2.4 opp/g
Matchup · MIA
13.43rd-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
0.5 rec · 2.5 rec yds · 1 tgt · 50% catch · 2.5 yd/tgt · 3% tgt share · 4% air-yd
Market
Impl 25.8 · Total 44.6 · Edge 🔒
NB
Nate Boerkircher
TE · JAX
This week
vs NE · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
2.3 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
9 yds · 1 rec · 0.07 xTD · 4.7% anytime TD · 1 opp/g
Matchup · NE
11.013th-softest vs TE · Neutral
Season · per game
1 rec · 9 rec yds · 1 tgt · 100% catch · 9 yd/tgt · 5% tgt share · 1% air-yd
Market
Impl — · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Noah Gray Slight lean
  • Noah Gray projects 0.1 more PPR points (2.4 vs 2.3).
  • Softer matchup: 3rd-easiest draw vs TEs.
FAQ
Should I start Noah Gray or Nate Boerkircher in Week 3?

Start Noah Gray over Nate Boerkircher in Week 3. Noah Gray projects for 2.4 PPR points to Nate Boerkircher's 2.3. Noah Gray projects 0.1 more PPR points (2.4 vs 2.3). Softer matchup: 3rd-easiest draw vs TEs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 1:40 PM ET.