BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
DS
DeVonta Smith
WR · PHI
This week
vs CHI · @away · 2026-09-28
Projection
13.5 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
62 yds · 4.8 rec · 0.41 xTD · 23.5% anytime TD · 6.9 opp/g
Matchup · CHI
28.93rd-softest vs WR · Green · smash
Season · per game
6.5 rec · 85 rec yds · 9.5 tgt · 68% catch · 8.9 yd/tgt · 33% tgt share · 50% air-yd
Market
Impl — · Edge 🔒
SD
Stefon Diggs
WR · WAS
This week
vs SEA · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
13.4 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
59 yds · 4.8 rec · 0.45 xTD · 25.2% anytime TD · 6.2 opp/g
Matchup · SEA
22.224th-softest vs WR · Red · tough
Season · per game
4.5 rec · 51 rec yds · 7.5 tgt · 60% catch · 6.8 yd/tgt · 24% tgt share · 23% air-yd
Market
Impl 21.5 · Total 46.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start DeVonta Smith Slight lean
  • DeVonta Smith projects 0.1 more PPR points (13.5 vs 13.4).
  • Softer matchup: 3rd-easiest draw vs WRs.
FAQ
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Stefon Diggs in Week 3?

Start DeVonta Smith over Stefon Diggs in Week 3. DeVonta Smith projects for 13.5 PPR points to Stefon Diggs's 13.4. DeVonta Smith projects 0.1 more PPR points (13.5 vs 13.4). Softer matchup: 3rd-easiest draw vs WRs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:35 PM ET.