BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 9 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
CW
Caleb Williams
QB · CHI
This week
vs TB · @home · 2026-11-08
Projection
16.4 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Matchup · TB
18.04th most fantasy points allowed to QBs · Green · smash
Season · per game
253 pass yds · 1.2 pTD · 0.2 INT · 70.9% comp · 5.2 car · 25.8 rush yds · 5 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 26.8 · Total 47.6 · Edge 🔒
BM
Baker Mayfield
QB · TB
This week
vs CHI · @away · 2026-11-08
Projection
13.6 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Matchup · CHI
17.19th most fantasy points allowed to QBs · Green · smash
Season · per game
136 pass yds · 0.6 pTD · 0.4 INT · 61.8% comp · 3.2 car · 16 rush yds · 5 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 20.8 · Total 47.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Caleb Williams Lean
  • Caleb Williams projects 2.8 more PPR points (16.4 vs 13.6).
  • Softer matchup: the 4th most fantasy points allowed to QBs.
  • Better game script: CHI implied for 26.8 vs TB's 20.8.
FAQ
Should I start Caleb Williams or Baker Mayfield in Week 9?

Start Caleb Williams over Baker Mayfield in Week 9. Caleb Williams projects for 16.4 PPR points to Baker Mayfield's 13.6. Caleb Williams projects 2.8 more PPR points (16.4 vs 13.6). Softer matchup: the 4th most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Better game script: CHI implied for 26.8 vs TB's 20.8.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:14 PM ET.