BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
TP
Tony Pollard
RB · TEN
This week
vs NYG · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
11.4 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
73 yds · 1.6 rec · 0.41 xTD · 23.6% anytime TD · 16.2 opp/g
Matchup · NYG
23.05th-softest vs RB · Green · smash
Season · per game
10.5 car · 49.5 rush yds · 4.7 YPC · 1 rec · 1.5 tgt · 67% catch · 0 yd/tgt · 7% tgt share · 4% air-yd
Market
Impl 21.3 · Total 45.6 · Edge 🔒
TH
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · NE
This week
vs JAX · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
11.2 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
67 yds · 1.3 rec · 0.53 xTD · 29% anytime TD · 13.2 opp/g
Matchup · JAX
16.329th-softest vs RB · Red · tough
Season · per game
16 car · 76 rush yds · 4.8 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl — · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Tony Pollard Slight lean
  • Tony Pollard projects 0.2 more PPR points (11.4 vs 11.2).
  • Softer matchup: 5th-easiest draw vs RBs.
FAQ
Should I start Tony Pollard or TreVeyon Henderson in Week 3?

Start Tony Pollard over TreVeyon Henderson in Week 3. Tony Pollard projects for 11.4 PPR points to TreVeyon Henderson's 11.2. Tony Pollard projects 0.2 more PPR points (11.4 vs 11.2). Softer matchup: 5th-easiest draw vs RBs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:50 PM ET.