BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
TF
Terrance Ferguson
TE · LA
This week
vs SF · @home · 2026-09-10
Projection
0.7 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
0.12 xTD · 6.5% anytime TD · 2 opp/g
Matchup · SF
12.19th-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
1 rec · 21 rec yds · 2 tgt · 50% catch · 10.5 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 25.8 · Total 48.6 · Edge 🔒
PD
Payne Durham
TE · TB
This week
vs CIN · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
0.7 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
0.11 xTD · 6% anytime TD · 0 opp/g
Matchup · CIN
18.01st-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
1 rec yds
Market
Impl 23.5 · Total 50.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Terrance Ferguson Slight lean
  • Softer matchup: 9th-easiest draw vs TEs.
  • Better game script: LA implied for 25.8 vs TB's 23.5.
FAQ
Should I start Terrance Ferguson or Payne Durham in Week 1?

Start Terrance Ferguson over Payne Durham in Week 1. Terrance Ferguson projects for 0.7 PPR points to Payne Durham's 0.7. Softer matchup: 9th-easiest draw vs TEs. Better game script: LA implied for 25.8 vs TB's 23.5.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.