BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
SD
Sam Darnold
QB · SEA
This week
vs NE · @home · 2026-09-09
Projection
11.0 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · NE
14.222nd-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
238 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 67.9% comp · 2 car · 6 rush yds · 3 YPC
Market
Impl 24.0 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
CW
Carson Wentz
QB · MIN
This week
vs GB · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
10.8 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · GB
14.420th-softest vs QB · Neutral
Season · per game
243 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 64.7% comp · 2 car · 11 rush yds · 5.5 YPC
Market
Impl 21.5 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Sam Darnold Slight lean
  • Sam Darnold projects 0.2 more PPR points (11.0 vs 10.8).
  • Better game script: SEA implied for 24.0 vs MIN's 21.5.
FAQ
Should I start Sam Darnold or Carson Wentz in Week 1?

Start Sam Darnold over Carson Wentz in Week 1. Sam Darnold projects for 11.0 PPR points to Carson Wentz's 10.8. Sam Darnold projects 0.2 more PPR points (11.0 vs 10.8). Better game script: SEA implied for 24.0 vs MIN's 21.5.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.