BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
MG
Mike Gesicki
TE · CIN
This week
vs TB · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
0.8 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
0.13 xTD · 6.8% anytime TD · 4 opp/g
Matchup · TB
13.24th-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
2 rec · 26 rec yds · 4 tgt · 50% catch · 6.5 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 27.0 · Total 50.5 · Edge 🔒
DS
Drew Sample
TE · CIN
This week
vs TB · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
0.8 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
0.13 xTD · 6.8% anytime TD · 2 opp/g
Matchup · TB
13.24th-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
1 rec · 9 rec yds · 2 tgt · 50% catch · 4.5 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 27.0 · Total 50.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Mike Gesicki Slight lean
  • Softer matchup: 4th-easiest draw vs TEs.
FAQ
Should I start Mike Gesicki or Drew Sample in Week 1?

Start Mike Gesicki over Drew Sample in Week 1. Mike Gesicki projects for 0.8 PPR points to Drew Sample's 0.8. Softer matchup: 4th-easiest draw vs TEs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 4:47 PM ET.