BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
MJ
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · ATL
This week
vs PIT · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
12.2 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · PIT
17.47th-softest vs QB · Green · smash
Season · per game
220 pass yds · 1 pTD · 58.1% comp · 2 car · 8 rush yds · 4 YPC
Market
Impl 19.8 · Total 42.6 · Edge 🔒
DJ
Daniel Jones
QB · IND
This week
vs BAL · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
11.4 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · BAL
16.312th-softest vs QB · Green · smash
Season · per game
239 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 66.7% comp · 3 car · 13 rush yds · 4.3 YPC
Market
Impl 23.0 · Total 49.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Michael Penix Jr. Slight lean
  • Michael Penix Jr. projects 0.8 more PPR points (12.2 vs 11.4).
  • Softer matchup: 7th-easiest draw vs QBs.
FAQ
Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Daniel Jones in Week 1?

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Daniel Jones in Week 1. Michael Penix Jr. projects for 12.2 PPR points to Daniel Jones's 11.4. Michael Penix Jr. projects 0.8 more PPR points (12.2 vs 11.4). Softer matchup: 7th-easiest draw vs QBs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.