BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
LJ
Lamar Jackson
QB · BAL
This week
vs IND · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
13.4 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Matchup · IND
15.614th-softest vs QB · Neutral
Season · per game
196 pass yds · 2 pTD · 1 INT · 65.2% comp · 5 car · 27 rush yds · 5.4 YPC
Market
Impl 26.5 · Total 49.5 · Edge 🔒
TL
Trevor Lawrence
QB · JAX
This week
vs CLE · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
13.1 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Matchup · CLE
11.230th-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
236 pass yds · 2 pTD · 1 INT · 60.6% comp · 5 car · 21 rush yds · 4.2 YPC
Market
Impl 24.0 · Total 40.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Lamar Jackson Slight lean
  • Lamar Jackson projects 0.3 more PPR points (13.4 vs 13.1).
  • Better game script: BAL implied for 26.5 vs JAX's 24.0.
FAQ
Should I start Lamar Jackson or Trevor Lawrence in Week 1?

Start Lamar Jackson over Trevor Lawrence in Week 1. Lamar Jackson projects for 13.4 PPR points to Trevor Lawrence's 13.1. Lamar Jackson projects 0.3 more PPR points (13.4 vs 13.1). Better game script: BAL implied for 26.5 vs JAX's 24.0.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.