BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
KC
Kirk Cousins
QB · LV
This week
vs MIA · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
10.4 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Matchup · MIA
16.910th-softest vs QB · Green · smash
Season · per game
172 pass yds · 1 pTD · 63% comp · 1 car · 1 rush yds · 1 YPC
Market
Impl 22.3 · Total 41.6 · Edge 🔒
TS
Tyler Shough
QB · NO
This week
vs DET · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
10.0 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Matchup · DET
16.511th-softest vs QB · Green · smash
Season · per game
217 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 66.7% comp · 4 car · 17 rush yds · 4.3 YPC
Market
Impl 20.8 · Total 48.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Kirk Cousins Slight lean
  • Kirk Cousins projects 0.4 more PPR points (10.4 vs 10.0).
  • Softer matchup: 10th-easiest draw vs QBs.
  • Better game script: LV implied for 22.3 vs NO's 20.8.
FAQ
Should I start Kirk Cousins or Tyler Shough in Week 1?

Start Kirk Cousins over Tyler Shough in Week 1. Kirk Cousins projects for 10.4 PPR points to Tyler Shough's 10.0. Kirk Cousins projects 0.4 more PPR points (10.4 vs 10.0). Softer matchup: 10th-easiest draw vs QBs. Better game script: LV implied for 22.3 vs NO's 20.8.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.