BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
JH
Justin Herbert
QB · LAC
This week
vs ARI · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
15.2 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Matchup · ARI
14.917th-softest vs QB · Neutral
Season · per game
233 pass yds · 2 pTD · 1 INT · 65.6% comp · 5 car · 31 rush yds · 6.2 YPC
Market
Impl 28.5 · Total 45.5 · Edge 🔒
CW
Caleb Williams
QB · CHI
This week
vs CAR · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
15.2 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Matchup · CAR
13.226th-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
232 pass yds · 2 pTD · 57.6% comp · 5 car · 23 rush yds · 4.6 YPC · 1 rec yds
Market
Impl 23.5 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Justin Herbert Slight lean
  • Better game script: LAC implied for 28.5 vs CHI's 23.5.
FAQ
Should I start Justin Herbert or Caleb Williams in Week 1?

Start Justin Herbert over Caleb Williams in Week 1. Justin Herbert projects for 15.2 PPR points to Caleb Williams's 15.2. Better game script: LAC implied for 28.5 vs CHI's 23.5.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.