BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
JA
Josh Allen
QB · BUF
This week
vs LAC · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
15.8 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Matchup · LAC
11.529th-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
291 pass yds · 2.5 pTD · 66.7% comp · 10 car · 46 rush yds · 4.6 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 25.5 · Total 48.5 · Edge 🔒
SD
Sam Darnold
QB · SEA
This week
vs WAS · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
15.7 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Matchup · WAS
18.52nd-softest vs QB · Green · smash
Season · per game
13 pass yds · 50% comp · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 25.0 · Total 46.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Josh Allen Slight lean
  • Josh Allen projects 0.1 more PPR points (15.8 vs 15.7).
  • Better game script: BUF implied for 25.5 vs SEA's 25.0.
FAQ
Should I start Josh Allen or Sam Darnold in Week 3?

Start Josh Allen over Sam Darnold in Week 3. Josh Allen projects for 15.8 PPR points to Sam Darnold's 15.7. Josh Allen projects 0.1 more PPR points (15.8 vs 15.7). Better game script: BUF implied for 25.5 vs SEA's 25.0.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:50 PM ET.