BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
JF
Jake Ferguson
TE · DAL
This week
vs NYG · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
5.0 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
5 rec
Matchup · NYG
9.124th-softest vs TE · Red · tough
Season · per game
5 rec · 35 rec yds · 6 tgt · 83% catch · 5.8 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 25.5 · Total 48.5 · Edge 🔒
CO
Cade Otton
TE · TB
This week
vs CIN · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
4.7 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Projected line
4 rec · 0.11 xTD · 6% anytime TD · 5 opp/g
Matchup · CIN
18.01st-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
4 rec · 38 rec yds · 5 tgt · 80% catch · 7.6 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 23.5 · Total 50.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Cade Otton Slight lean
  • Softer matchup: 1st-easiest draw vs TEs.
FAQ
Should I start Jake Ferguson or Cade Otton in Week 1?

Start Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson in Week 1. Cade Otton projects for 4.7 PPR points to Jake Ferguson's 5.0. Softer matchup: 1st-easiest draw vs TEs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.