BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
IT
Ian Thomas
TE · LV
This week
vs MIA · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
0.6 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
0.1 xTD · 5.6% anytime TD · 1 opp/g
Matchup · MIA
13.43rd-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
1 rec · 13 rec yds · 1 tgt · 100% catch · 13 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 22.3 · Total 41.6 · Edge 🔒
MM
Michael Mayer
TE · LV
This week
vs MIA · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
0.6 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
0.1 xTD · 5.6% anytime TD · 4 opp/g
Matchup · MIA
13.43rd-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
3 rec · 25 rec yds · 4 tgt · 75% catch · 6.3 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 22.3 · Total 41.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Ian Thomas Slight lean
  • Softer matchup: 3rd-easiest draw vs TEs.
FAQ
Should I start Ian Thomas or Michael Mayer in Week 1?

Start Ian Thomas over Michael Mayer in Week 1. Ian Thomas projects for 0.6 PPR points to Michael Mayer's 0.6. Softer matchup: 3rd-easiest draw vs TEs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.