BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
GS
Geno Smith
QB · NYJ
This week
vs DET · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
12.8 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · DET
16.511th-softest vs QB · Green · smash
Season · per game
231 pass yds · 0.5 pTD · 70.8% comp · 5.5 car · 12 rush yds · 2.2 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 18.0 · Total 45.5 · Edge 🔒
BN
Bo Nix
QB · DEN
This week
vs LA · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
12.7 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · LA
14.321st-softest vs QB · Neutral
Season · per game
210 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 66.1% comp · 4 car · 4 rush yds · 1 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 21.3 · Total 45.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Geno Smith Slight lean
  • Geno Smith projects 0.1 more PPR points (12.8 vs 12.7).
  • Softer matchup: 11th-easiest draw vs QBs.
FAQ
Should I start Geno Smith or Bo Nix in Week 3?

Start Geno Smith over Bo Nix in Week 3. Geno Smith projects for 12.8 PPR points to Bo Nix's 12.7. Geno Smith projects 0.1 more PPR points (12.8 vs 12.7). Softer matchup: 11th-easiest draw vs QBs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:50 PM ET.