BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
GW
Garrett Wilson
WR · NYJ
This week
vs TEN · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
14.0 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
56 yds · 5 rec · 0.56 xTD · 27% anytime TD · 8 opp/g
Matchup · TEN
28.07th-softest vs WR · Green · smash
Season · per game
5 rec · 56 rec yds · 8 tgt · 63% catch · 7 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 18.3 · Total 39.6 · Edge 🔒
NC
Nico Collins
WR · HOU
This week
vs BUF · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
12.5 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
75 yds · 5 rec · 8 opp/g
Matchup · BUF
21.725th-softest vs WR · Red · tough
Season · per game
1 rush yds · 5 rec · 74 rec yds · 8 tgt · 63% catch · 9.3 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 22.0 · Total 45.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Garrett Wilson Lean
  • Garrett Wilson projects 1.5 more PPR points (14.0 vs 12.5).
  • Softer matchup: 7th-easiest draw vs WRs.
FAQ
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Nico Collins in Week 1?

Start Garrett Wilson over Nico Collins in Week 1. Garrett Wilson projects for 14.0 PPR points to Nico Collins's 12.5. Garrett Wilson projects 1.5 more PPR points (14.0 vs 12.5). Softer matchup: 7th-easiest draw vs WRs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.