BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
DS
Drew Sample
TE · CIN
This week
vs TB · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
0.8 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
0.13 xTD · 6.8% anytime TD · 2 opp/g
Matchup · TB
13.24th-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
1 rec · 9 rec yds · 2 tgt · 50% catch · 4.5 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 27.0 · Total 50.5 · Edge 🔒
JM
Johnny Mundt
TE · PHI
This week
vs WAS · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
0.7 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
0.12 xTD · 6.6% anytime TD · 2 opp/g
Matchup · WAS
13.05th-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
1 rec · 9 rec yds · 2 tgt · 50% catch · 4.5 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 26.0 · Total 46.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Drew Sample Slight lean
  • Drew Sample projects 0.1 more PPR points (0.8 vs 0.7).
  • Softer matchup: 4th-easiest draw vs TEs.
  • Better game script: CIN implied for 27.0 vs PHI's 26.0.
FAQ
Should I start Drew Sample or Johnny Mundt in Week 1?

Start Drew Sample over Johnny Mundt in Week 1. Drew Sample projects for 0.8 PPR points to Johnny Mundt's 0.7. Drew Sample projects 0.1 more PPR points (0.8 vs 0.7). Softer matchup: 4th-easiest draw vs TEs. Better game script: CIN implied for 27.0 vs PHI's 26.0.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.