BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
DS
Drew Sample
TE · CIN
This week
vs PIT · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
3.1 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
10 yds · 1.8 rec · 0.05 xTD · 3% anytime TD · 1.8 opp/g
Matchup · PIT
14.42nd-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
3 rec · 19 rec yds · 3 tgt · 100% catch · 6.3 yd/tgt · 9% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 24.5 · Total 47.5 · Edge 🔒
JB
John Bates
TE · WAS
This week
vs SEA · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
3.0 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Projected line
11 yds · 1.3 rec · 0.1 xTD · 6% anytime TD · 1.7 opp/g
Matchup · SEA
12.010th-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
2 rec · 13 rec yds · 3 tgt · 67% catch · 4.3 yd/tgt · 10% tgt share · 2% air-yd
Market
Impl 21.5 · Total 46.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Drew Sample Slight lean
  • Drew Sample projects 0.1 more PPR points (3.1 vs 3.0).
  • Softer matchup: 2nd-easiest draw vs TEs.
  • Better game script: CIN implied for 24.5 vs WAS's 21.5.
FAQ
Should I start Drew Sample or John Bates in Week 3?

Start Drew Sample over John Bates in Week 3. Drew Sample projects for 3.1 PPR points to John Bates's 3.0. Drew Sample projects 0.1 more PPR points (3.1 vs 3.0). Softer matchup: 2nd-easiest draw vs TEs. Better game script: CIN implied for 24.5 vs WAS's 21.5.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:35 PM ET.